Almost any craps player sooner or later has come to a thought of so called craps systems. Beating the casino is an obvious wish of many players and so there are many systems that try to do this. This article is an attempt to determine the efficiency of such approach to the craps game.
Craps strategy and craps system are not the same, so at first let’s distinguish these two terms. Usually strategy can have several aims. First, this can be getting as much fun as possible for the least money. Craps strategy can be aimed at controlling the dices and calculating the odds so they will be in favor of the players. Finally, some people may play craps not for money, trying to impress players of the opposite sex, so their primarily aim is to look cool.
Caps system is a little bit different. Player tries to win by manipulating winning chances and trying to bid when it’s the “right time”. As vast majority of such systems are based on an erroneous assumption, they do not work on a long run. Erroneous assumption is a way of predicting future events depending on the events that have already happened. Thus such approach implies the existence of the connection between past and future dice rolls.
The truth is such games as craps or roulette are nothing else but a series of independent events. It doesn’t matter, what is rolled this round as this result cannot affect the future one. If a player has thrown 7, he or she is not more or less likely to throw 7 again. The odds of throwing 7 are mathematically fixed and this chance is 5 to 1.